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11/1/12
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Justrader Analysis
Wednesday, 18th January 2012
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التحليل التقني للعملات الاساسية وللمعادن
EUR/USD
The EUR held onto its gains Tuesday. Apparently short term traders had digested the notion that a downgrade would come via the S&P the past weekend which allowed for the jump in the Single Currency’s values from its low water depths. The question is how long will the ‘confidence’ remain stable within the E.U. taking into consideration the looming debt problems that are about to reemerge from Athens once again. Italian Trade Balance numbers will be published today, but the scope for investors will remain the financial crisis in the European Union. The Forex markets appear set to test ranges again today.
Gold
Gold lost some ground on Tuesday but not in a hefty manner. As of this morning the precious metal is around 1655.00 USD. As the EUR held onto its ground, Gold proved that its correlation with the USD has not exactly proven effective. Gold remains a speculative market based on a flight to safety as fears continue to shadow global economics and Europe in particular.
Oil
Crude Oil inched up a notch on Tuesday and is near the higher end of its range. The war of words from Iran continues with the United States. And while the U.S. has not taken the bait of sabre rattling the fat that the words continue to escalate has some investors worried. The question is how much of a counterweight the rather bleak economic prospects will weigh on Crude Oil with the outlook for growth not exactly shining.
S&P, NASDAQ, DOW
Wall Street turned in modest gains on Tuesday as the Empire State Manufacturing Index provided a slightly better result than expected. Earnings reports via the corporate front remain mixed at best, Citibank turned in disappointing results, while Wells Fargo beat its estimate. Today inflation data will come from the States along with the TIC Long-Term Purchases numbers. Tomorrow Building Permits, Core CPI, weekly Unemployment Claims, and Housing Starts results are on the calendar. Investors within the equities markets remain rather cautious and a good barometer remains the U.S. bond market
 

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